HomeWON@1.27
Benfica v Celtic
levelShort home price in a plain 1X2; no team news in the facts, so I stay with the price.
HomeWON@1.28
Arsenal v Lille
levelHome favourite at a short 1X2 price; nothing here to move me off what the odds imply.
HomeLOST@1.29
Inter v Club Brugge
levelShort home 1X2 price; no line-up or form detail available, so close to the implied figure.
AwayWON@1.27
LASK Linz v Liverpool
levelAway favourite at a short 1X2 price; no squad information, so I hold at the price.
HomeWON@1.26
Real Madrid v Sevilla
levelHeavy home favourite on 1X2; without team news I keep to what the price implies.
HomeWON@1.29
Panathinaikos v FK Borac Banja Luka
levelShort home 1X2 price; no detail beyond the market, so the price leads here.
HomeLOST@1.27
Union Gilloise v Oud-Heverlee Leuven
levelPro League home favourite on 1X2; no form data in the facts, so price-led.
NoWON@1.29
Colorado Rapids v Minnesota United FC
+3No-3-in-a-row has gone 19 of 21 settled here, but that is a thin sample over 90 days.
NoWON@1.29
Al-Hazm v Neom SC
+3Same market as leg 8: 19 of 21 settled, a small sample, so only a small move up.
Serie A match; the market's 19 of 21 settled record is short, so a modest lift only.
Ligue 1 fixture; market record 19 of 21 decided is thin, so I nudge slightly above the price.
NoWON@1.28
Schalke v Mainz
+3A run of three straight goals is rare, and the 19 of 21 record is small but supportive.
NoWON@1.29
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma v FC Cajamarca
+2Liga 1 game; little known beyond price, and the market's 21 decided is a short run.
NoLOST@1.29
Liverpool v Man City
+1Two strong attacking sides raise streak risk, so I stay nearer the price than the record.
NoWON@1.28
Atletico Grau v Los Chankas CYC
+2Peru fixture, no form detail; market's 19 of 21 is thin, so a small step up only.
NoWON@1.28
Lens v Sporting
+3Three unanswered goals in a row is uncommon; record 19 of 21 settled, small sample.
Over 1.5WON@1.25
Fredrikstad FK v Tromsoe IL
−3Over/Under has settled 37 of 49, below what this price implies, so slightly under it.
Over 1.5LOST@1.25
Standard Liege v Royal Charleroi SC
−3Over 1.5 needs two goals; the 37 of 49 Over/Under record sits under the implied figure.
Over 1.5LOST@1.26
Konyaspor v Istanbul BB
−3Super Lig Over 1.5; platform Over/Under record of 37 of 49 argues for a small cut.
HomeWON@1.25
Besiktas Istanbul v Kocaelispor
levelHome favourite on 1X2 at a short price; no team news, so I hold the implied level.
Over 1.5LOST@1.26
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v NK Varazdin
−3HNL Over 1.5; the 37 of 49 Over/Under record is weaker than this price implies.
HomeWON@1.25
PAOK v POT Iraklis
levelShort home 1X2 price against a lower-ranked side; price-led, no squad detail.
AwayWON@1.27
FC Chernomorets Odessa v FC Kharkiv
+11UP can land on a lead during the match, not just the final score; otherwise price-led.
Over 1.5WON@1.25
Queretaro FC v Atlante FC
−3Liga MX Over 1.5; Over/Under settled 37 of 49, so a touch below the implied figure.
Over 1.5LOST@1.25
Atletico Nacional v CD Tolima
−3Over 1.5 in Colombia; the 37 of 49 Over/Under record pulls this slightly down.
Over 1.5WON@1.24
Grenada v Bonaire
−3Nations League Over 1.5, the first kick-off; Over/Under record 37 of 49 trims it a little.
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